"What has gone under-noticed is all of these things are happening now."
Quality 4: Requisite Action
We are living in a time of unprecedented exponential change that brings about uncertainty, unpredictability and complexity. We feel like we don’t know what is happening now and we don’t know what will happen tomorrow everything is so interconnected and complicated. And it is moving faster and faster.
Requisite action means doing something that is necessary for the achievement of a specified goal. It means doing your duty. You can't solve the problems of the world but you can solve the problems that are demanding your attention in your own life.
Requisite Action is the completion of an action required by the reality of a situation. It is simple, you fall down, and you get up. The requisite action becomes visible after reality is observed and accepted for what it is. It will be clear what is essential or vital to the completion that is required. Each requisite action is completed without regard for outcomes and results.
Doing the right thing is complete within itself.
VIDEO: PWC Collisions
In this short film David Lancefield advances the notion that there are opportunities in not in looking at the effect of one megatrend (exponential) but instead at the interaction between several.
In the short talk think about
- What is a collision?
- What is the sharing economy?
- What do you need to do to ensure you do the right thing?
IS A SUPERCONVERGENCE POSSIBLE?
MIGHT TWO OR MORE EXPONENTIAL CRISES CONVERGE? WHEN?
Over the past decade or so, numerous researchers and scientists have commented in print and on TED stages regarding the rate of change in their own given field of expertise. These professionals will often use the terms “accelerating” or “exponential” to characterize the rapid pace of the changes they are reporting.
Taken in isolation, each of these disruptive patterns poses a serious threat -– whether it be the loss of efficacy of antibiotics, the rise of “superbugs,” the rate of melt of Greenland’s ice sheet, CO2 emissions, melting permafrost, ocean acidification, mega droughts, decline of available potable water, climate pattern disruptions, a simultaneously growing aged and youth populations, super-exponential advances in robotics, AI and information technologies with two billion more people expected to come online as the ubiquity of smartphones continues, growing wealth inequality – there’s a long list of rapid changes poised to happen all around us. What has gone under noticed is that all of these things are happening now.
Given the limits of planetary and human resources, how might we cope with a proximate convergence of criticality in any two or more of these areas?
In October 2012, when an “extra inch” of rising sea level got “snowplowed” into New York Harbor by a thousand-mile wide weakening tropical storm (having fallen below Cat 1 on the hurricane scale) just at the time another storm system came in from the west, and at the very hour of a full moon and its resulting “astronomical” high tide, New Yorkers got a firsthand look at a super convergent event – one which we now call “Super Storm Sandy.” (see photo above)
Tropical Storm Sandy likely would have been another “non-event” storm were it not for this ill-timed convergence. But while storms and tides come and go in a matter of hours, droughts, pandemics, financial crises, wars tend to span periods of years and sometimes decades, making a their convergences more likely.
The exponential rate of change amplifies the dangers presented by each issue and the possibility of convergences carry with them the probability of unexpected consequences.